step 1
I think I am going to choose to focus on Lawrenceville (15201) because of its somewhat recent transformation into a “hip” and desirable neighborhood for young people

drivers of change
income inequality – as more people move in, prices for housing etc will go up.
displacement (http://pittsburgh.cbslocal.com/2013/11/14/some-older-lawrenceville-residents-not-happy-with-re-urbanization/) / shifting values, demographics
lawrenceville is in general a “hip” and pretty open community, so… widespread acceptance / equality
more cultural diversity / diversity in general – can it evolve from the “artsy” label..

step 2
population 14326. pretty even gender split w/ majority female. age group 35-44 is the greatest. mostly white. one of the largest pgh neighborhoods. lots of renters.


  • Lesbian couples: 1.3% of all households
  • Gay men: 0.3% of all households

avg household income less than 10k & 15k-25k.  8% unemployment


Estimated median house/condo value in 2011: $78,500
Estimated median household income in 2011: $39,635
Median gross rent in 2011: $721

Residents with income below the poverty level in 2011:

This zip code: 20.7%
Whole state: 13.8%

Residents with income below 50% of the poverty level in 2011:

This zip code: 11.5%
Whole state: 7.6%

Screen shot 2014-11-17 at 2.52.27 AM


seeing as Lawrenceville is attracting lots of people for its good home value + hip neighborhood, I am hypothesizing that population is going to grow as more young people migrate there. It will be mostly college graduates who move there, and then they will start their own families. In 2054 the ratio of new/old residents is going to be greater than it is now. Because more people are moving there, house values will also go up. This is bad for low-income residents, who will probably have to move somewhere else. More people also means higher income in general. Also because the attractions there cater to a financially well-off group of people – boutiques, art, culture, etc.






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